geopolitical monitor review
It conveys information that reflects the basic components of a place… When it comes to geopolitics, the key is to build a forecast by first noting the obvious. Some analysts hold that an international monetary transition can be relatively peaceful and gradual. In fact, some analysts claim that the US dollar has been on life support since the global financial crisis that broke out more than ten years ago. Beijing regards the general atmosphere of global financial and monetary uncertainty as a window of opportunity to strengthen its currency and to downgrade the currency of its top strategic rival: the greenback. Geopoliticalmonitor.com is a registered trade name of Geopoliticalmonitor Intelligence Corp. © 2021 Geopoliticalmonitor Intelligence Corp., All Rights Reserved | ISSN 1927-3045. you need to be logged in to access this page. Western Balkans Stability Monitor; Reviews . Likewise, even hypothetical contenders are rather feeble. In fact, it looks like – more than ever before – strategic competition is unfolding in the field of finance. In this scenario, perhaps the golden rule would apply. An atlas is a geopolitical cheat sheet. Plus, Moscow and Beijing know that the role of the dollar is one of the cornerstones of US national power, so it is hardly surprising that it is in their crosshairs. Without such fundamental ingredient, it is unlikely that a stateless currency can become the world’s top monetary standard. Milos Damnjanovic. This is the most common type of submission we receive at Geopoliticalmonitor.com, as it tends to … Geopolitical Monitor Geopolitical Monitor News 5.0 • 1 Rating; Listen on Apple Podcasts. In other words, the current monetary hegemony would be followed by a more fragmentary structure. Fourth Scenario: Rise of a Multilateral Currency. *This article was originally published on February 20, 2020. It is therefore hard to anticipate with a high degree of accuracy what the future will bring regarding the present monetary hegemony. Situation Report (600-2,000 words) A situation report takes one pertinent geopolitical topic or issue and analyzes it from all possible angles. Toronto, Ontario, Canada About Blog Geopolitical Monitor is an open-source intelligence collection and forecasting service. The recent China-Iran agreement presents Baghdad with a profound geopolitical choice: the United States or China? In the grand scheme of things, trying to freeze structural change is a demanding endeavor that requires vast amounts of military, economic, and political resources. This configuration would mean the bifurcation of the current financial and monetary order into two or more competing systems, each with its own dominant currency, gold reserves, financial institutions, banking entities and payments mechanisms. In the grand scheme of things, the so called ‘demonetization’ of gold – the quintessential monetary substance throughout history – is a fairly recent development. Middle East Gamechanger? Nonetheless, appearances can be deceiving. GEOPOLITICAL.BIZ. Actually, there are noteworthy precedents. There are several alternative plausible scenarios that need to be examined. Therefore, the emergence of SDRs as international money offers valuable opportunities for those interested in disabling the dollar’s supremacy, but without worrying about the disruption of financial stability. In fact, this option’s underlying basket could even be widened so it also includes the currencies of emerging markets. Geopolitical Futures (GPF) was founded in 2015 by George Friedman, international strategist and author of The Next 100 Years. Accordingly, they are often the victims of their own success. Centralize your search, alerting, and visualization to detect threats fast with real-time, location-based OSINT intelligence that is dynamically linked, categorized, and updated in every language from social media, the dark web , and more. Assessing the geopolitics and motives behind emergence of the Quad’s Leadership Summit. Accordingly, this would likely mean an increased financial Lebensraum for currencies like the euro, the yuan and the pound sterling, amongst others. If this is enabled, this will transmit speed, location, proximity, and a faster tracking measure by passers or the vessels in real-time. Their currencies follow a similar trajectory. This reality fuels reasonable doubts about the long-term prospects of fiat money, in general, and the monetary hegemony of the US dollar, in particular. For instance, the fall of the Roman denarius was not only a key driver in the decline of the Roman Empire. We » Geopolitical Monitor is an open-source intelligence collection and forecasting service. This is hardly surprising after the sharp financial crisis that took place a decade ago. Actually, elements of them can co-exist. Listen on Apple Podcasts. Past is precedent in Israeli election, Secretary-General Guterres warns on the financial stability of the developing world, and troubling signs of a civil war in Myanmar. This NPR will aim to build confidence among NPT stakeholders, essentially One way or another, the prospect of prolonged geopolitical and financial unipolarity is a profoundly ahistorical notion. Peru’s presidency is up for grabs in what projects to be one of the most competitive elections in recent memory. It could even be argued that the first shots have already been fired in this highly unconventional battle space. But governing won’t be easy for the winner. Even though the dollar’s position still seems safe for the near future, the hypothetical rise of a parallel financial order anchored to gold as a monetary unit is a possibility that needs to be considered, especially when there are geopolitical incentives to diminish the dollar’s global dominance. In geopolitical terms, this idea might be attractive in case the global balance of power is reasonably stable. Furthermore, as a matter of policy in terms of grand strategy, Washington has done everything in its power to preserve and enhance the dominant role of its currency as an international unit of account, store of value and medium of exchange. For instance, the late Swiss banker Ferdinand Lips explained that, since gold is an asset whose value is determined by its natural scarcity, it promotes fiscal responsibility and sound monetary policies, which would limit the possibility of resorting to endless credit and perpetual debt – both closely associated to fiat money – in order to artificially inflate military budgets and, consequently, war expenditures. In the early part of 2020, the Center for #Preventive #Action named 26 conflicts to its #Global #Conflict #Tracker that were of particular concern to the United States ( #US ). The power of empires inevitably declines after reaching their zenith. In order to envisage them, it is essential to highlight that nature abhors power voids. Last week’s brutal Palma attack is fueling concerns of state collapse in northeast Mozambique. However, the prospects of an eventual restoration of a gold standard are being discussed nowadays. In fact, it has used many tools – including institutional frameworks, bilateral trade, the development of financial hubs, business platforms and investment agreements – in order to advance its international position and projection. Its might is felt in the domains of military affairs, geopolitics, intelligence, industry, energy, science, culture and technology. Blogger Outreach or Influencer Marketing. Finally, another card that the US can play in case of dangerous geo-financial turmoil is to resort to its gold reserves in order to back the greenback with the yellow metal once again. Thus, in this case the corresponding projections need to transcend the disciplinary scope of traditional economic science. https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/why-consociationalism-…/. By Geopolitical Monitor By Try Ananto Wicaksono As the world’s largest producer and consumer of palm oil, the palm oil industry has become an important part of Indonesia’s economy. Alternative uses of space can contradict the modern geopolitical imagination which is closely tied to the nation-state and its administrative, political and economic categories (Preciado Coronado & Uc 2010: 85). Intelligence reports delivered right to your inbox, Analysis from our global network of experts. Reach thousands of authority bloggers and social media influencers in your domain area. Global Forecast (3-30-2021) Forecasts - March 30, 2021. Past is precedent in Israeli election, Secretary-General Guterres warns on the financial stability of the developing world, and troubling signs of a civil war in Myanmar. After all, it has become once more an attractive asset for national states, companies, and even individuals. Nikola writes for several publications such us Geopolitical Monitor, Global Security Review, Global Comment and International Policy Digest, among others. Third Scenario: Geo-Financial Bipolarity or Multipolarity. While we review all submissions, not every submission will be published. After all, being the issuer of the world’s top reserve currency is a privilege that entails important costs, including the responsibility to act as a senior military provider of international security. We provide research, analysis and up to date coverage on situations and events that have a substantive impact on political, military and economic affairs. In this context, even covert operations – which are often undertaken in order to derail or at least to delay structural trends – constitute a tool that can be used to protect the supremacy of the greenback in the coming decades. Besides, it must not be forgotten that even though the greenback is a fiat currency, it is backed by US power projection capabilities, including a formidable nuclear arsenal. Our team of experts provide unique and insightful perspectives on situations and events that have a substantive impact on business, political, military and economic affairs. However, it is possible to assess the prospects of plausible scenarios. The scenarios described and examined above illustrate that there are several possible outcomes, all of them heavily shaped by complex geopolitical, economic, financial, and even technological realities. Nepalese and Filipino Maoist outfits have long been suspected of providing rhetorical and material support to the CPI(M). Other factors worth taking into account are the intrinsic volatile nature of contemporary financial markets – which are vulnerable to several kinds of disruptions – the systemic accumulation of unpayable debts, and the implementation of monetary policies that, far from correcting structural imbalances, are actually deepening them. It is even described as a “financial superpower.” Even if its position has been eroded by setbacks, imbalances, and weaknesses, it is foreseeable that the strength of the US dollar will not be matched anytime soon. Feedspot has over 100k Influential Bloggers database classified in more than 1500 niche categories. That usually means that hegemonic reserve currencies are issued by the most powerful states. In geopolitical terms, this idea might be attractive in case the global balance of power is reasonably stable. The recent proliferation of cryptocurrencies – a product of the Fourth Industrial Revolution – is seen by some as a game-changer that has given credence to the idea that, at some point, one of them could eventually become the new dominant global currency. In other words, they are not backed by the national power of any state. Britain’s Voice on Sexual Violence Must Be Consistent | Geopolitical Monitor If London hopes to have any credibility, it must be uniform in its condemnation of sexual violence. Gauging the China-Iran Deal, Great Power Competition Comes to the Middle East: Iraq and the China-Iran Agreement, Impeachment, Apathy, and COVID-19 Loom over Peru Polls, US-Philippine Alliance: Duterte Demands US ‘Pay’ to Salvage Troop Deal, Strategic Commodities 2.0: Global Tantalum Supply & Demand, ISIS-Linked Insurgency Opens a Vacuum in Northeast Mozambique, Britain’s Voice on Sexual Violence Must Be Consistent.